AI can predict when rogue waves will strike next

Nov 28, 2023 ·

Scientists have discovered that artificial intelligence (AI) can predict when massive rogue waves will strike the ocean. Rogue waves are huge, unpredictable waves that can be up to 30 meters (100 feet) high and travel at speeds of over 40 knots (46 mph). They are extremely dangerous for those out at sea, as they can capsize even large ships.

Researchers from the University of Liverpool in England used AI to develop an algorithm that can analyze satellite data and detect the properties of a rogue wave before it forms. This would give boaters enough time to prepare or seek shelter before the wave strikes.

The algorithm works by analyzing the swell height and swell period of the surface water. Swell height is the average wave height of the sea during a given period, while the swell period is the average time between successive waves. By using a combination of inputs and machine learning techniques, the algorithm can identify changes in the swell conditions that indicate a rogue wave may form.

Using test data collected from the Atlantic Ocean, the algorithm predicted when a rogue wave would form with 93% accuracy. The data was collected over a 10-day period, during which the team recorded the swell height and swell period of the ocean.

The researchers believe their algorithm could be used to create early warning systems to alert boaters to inclement weather. In addition, the information provided by the algorithm could prove useful for marine scientists who study the behavior of these rogue waves.

At present, rogue waves remain one of the greatest mysteries of the ocean. Scientists still don't understand why they form, but this new research could help provide some answers. With AI, maritime safety can be improved in the future by providing boats with much-needed warnings of these potentially devastating waves.